RVRS.AI — fadepool

Trade against the crowd — when the data says so.

Fadepool runs a population of retail-style trading strategies — the entries retail traders actually use, wrapped in the psychology they actually trade with (take profits early, let losers run, add to losers) — live on real FX data. It records every signal those strategies generate and studies, statistically, when it pays to take the other side of them, and when it pays to join them.

forward test running – strategies – FX pairs · – timeframes
Live execution paused September 16, 2026 — second live cycle closed. The overlay executor traded live September 9–16 on fade-direction cells only: 73 trades, 34% win rate, −5.3% on the account. The failure was specific and measurable: every 1-minute / 24-hour-horizon cell realized 25–50 pips below its measured edge, while 4-hour-horizon cells tracked their measurements. The 24-hour tier counts overlapping visits as independent evidence — the same flaw that ended the August cycle — and it is being removed from live eligibility before any re-arm. Demo signals and the measurement matrix continue uninterrupted. Every number on this page remains forward-tested only: it accrues after the strategies go live, on live data. No backtests are published here, and none ever will be.

Forward record

accruing live since … · updates hourly · results in pips; fills at live bid/ask so spread is included; overnight financing not yet modeled

Days live
–
Strategies
–
entry × psychology × pair × timeframe
Signals recorded
–
– in last 24h
view the signal record →
Baskets closed
–
Win rate
–
of closed baskets
Net result (mark-to-market)
–
realized + open baskets, pips (spread included in fills)
Net result (USD)
–
at live sizing (100 units/basket unit)
Stat-arb overlay
–
trading the qualified cells · demo
view overlay trades →
Missed trades
–
live orders rejected on margin
view the missed-trade log →

How it works

three layers, each proven before the next is trusted

01 · DATA

Verified live feed

Two independent price feeds are compared minute-by-minute; any divergence beyond an adaptive threshold is logged permanently. Nothing triggers on unverified data.

02 · SIGNALS

A synthetic retail crowd

Hundreds of strategy instances — classic retail entries crossed with retail position-management psychology, each bound to its own pair and timeframe — run live and record every entry, add-to-loser and exit.

03 · EDGE

Statistical timing

The research question: at what point in a strategy's drawdown or run-up is it profitable to fade it — or follow it? Every candidate edge must prove itself forward, net of costs, before a cent trades on it.

Live execution status: not armed

Real-money execution stays off until the forward record demonstrates a conditional edge with adequate sample size. When armed, it trades micro positions (100 units) — a real-fill implementation check, not a performance claim. Retail-positioning data is tracked as a separate, attributable input so each driver's contribution is measured in isolation.